Anderlecht 1-0 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Jul 2024

Anderlecht
1-0 HT 0-0
St. Truidense
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Anderlecht vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.95
X/1
19%
3.69
X/2
8%
15.6
X/X
10%
6.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.85
2/2
11%
11.85
2/X
8%
18.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-15.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anderlecht v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -11%
2.31/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.87
+19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.1 Crosses 12.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Anderlecht vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Truidense
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.15 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
425 Passes 344
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
13.08.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.02.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
14.08.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-3 HT 0-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
14.12.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
17.10.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht edged past St. Truidense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Anderlecht and 0.67 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs St. Truidense?

Anderlecht 1-0 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 51%, draw 25%, St. Truidense 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Over 2.5
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