Orsha 1-0 Bumprom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bumprom EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.11/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.53
-31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Bumprom
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.10.2023 Bumprom Bumprom 2-2 HT 0-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
24.06.2023 Orsha Orsha 2-2 HT 1-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
1-0
AWAY Bumprom
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Bumprom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha edged past Bumprom 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Orsha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orsha had 37% of the ball to Bumprom's 63%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Orsha and 2.00 for Bumprom.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Bumprom?

Orsha 1-0 Bumprom in the Belarus - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Bumprom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bumprom win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orsha 37%, draw 25%, Bumprom 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bumprom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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