Ostrovets FC 1-0 Baranovichi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.33/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.85
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ostrovets FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Baranovichi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Baranovichi Baranovichi 1-1 HT 0-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ostrovets FC
1-0
AWAY Baranovichi
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ostrovets FC vs Baranovichi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ostrovets FC squeezed past Baranovichi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ostrovets FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ostrovets FC had 52% of the ball to Baranovichi's 48%, shots finished 22-9.

What was the final score of Ostrovets FC vs Baranovichi?

Ostrovets FC 1-0 Baranovichi in the Belarus - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ostrovets FC vs Baranovichi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ostrovets FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ostrovets FC 45%, draw 25%, Baranovichi 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ostrovets FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ostrovets FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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