KuPS Ak. 1-2 KPV Kokkola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 27 Jul 2024

KuPS Ak.
1-2 HT 0-1
KPV Kokkola
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
FİN3 – 2024

KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.85 — our 23% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
20%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
55%
Away Win
59%
-3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KuPS Ak. v KPV Kokkola — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -58%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KPV Kokkola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
18.05.2024 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN2

KuPS Ak. 1-2 KPV Kokkola — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
1-2
AWAY KPV Kokkola
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KPV Kokkola nicked a narrow win over KuPS Ak. 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had KPV Kokkola as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 58% of the ball to KPV Kokkola's 42%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola?

KuPS Ak. 1-2 KPV Kokkola in the FİN3 on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs KPV Kokkola?

Before kick-off our model rated an KPV Kokkola win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 23%, draw 22%, KPV Kokkola 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KPV Kokkola), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KPV Kokkola) ✓ Over 2.5
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