KPV Kokkola 1-0 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 18 May 2024

KPV Kokkola
1-0 HT 0-0
KuPS Ak.
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen – 2024

KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak. Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.06
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
16%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
76%
-18.5pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.5pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KPV Kokkola v KuPS Ak. — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.74/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/3.02
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KPV Kokkola edged past KuPS Ak. 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had KPV Kokkola as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak.?

KPV Kokkola 1-0 KuPS Ak. in the Finland - Ykkönen on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a KPV Kokkola win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split KPV Kokkola 57%, draw 20%, KuPS Ak. 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KPV Kokkola) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KPV Kokkola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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