JIPPO 2-0 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 18 May 2024

JIPPO
2-0 HT 0-0
KaPa
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.3pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JIPPO EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 21%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.68/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.88
+16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JIPPO
0W-2D-1L
AWAY KaPa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
22.10.2022 JIPPO JIPPO 0-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
01.10.2022 JIPPO JIPPO 1-1 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
09.07.2022 KaPa KaPa 0-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JIPPO
2-0
AWAY KaPa
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JIPPO vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO beat KaPa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JIPPO as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, JIPPO had 47% of the ball to KaPa's 53%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, KaPa led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for JIPPO and 0.67 for KaPa.

What was the final score of JIPPO vs KaPa?

JIPPO 2-0 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JIPPO vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a JIPPO win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split JIPPO 46%, draw 32%, KaPa 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JIPPO), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JIPPO) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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