SJK Seinajoki 5-5 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
29%
4.81
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.7
2-3 Goals
38%
2.03
4-5 Goals
30%
2.62
6+ Goals
9%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.9
X/1
21%
3.62
X/2
5%
18.55
X/X
9%
8.25
2/1
8%
20.8
2/2
6%
13.4
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
20.85
Value flag · 2/X at 20.85 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.9pp
29%
Draw
17%
+11.4pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 15%
-11% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.71/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.89
-28% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
32.6 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Lahti
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 0.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
372 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-4 HT 0-4 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
16.07.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
22.04.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
24.07.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-3 HT 0-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
07.05.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
26.09.2021 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 4-1 HT 3-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
5-5
AWAY FC Lahti
2.88 xG 1.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 264
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 22
38 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki and FC Lahti couldn't be separated, finishing 5-5. Half-time: 2-2. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Seinajoki at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 57% of the ball to FC Lahti's 43%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 2.88 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 0.83 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs FC Lahti?

SJK Seinajoki 5-5 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 54%, draw 29%, FC Lahti 17%. The final score 5-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
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