HJK Helsinki 3-0 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
16%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.6
X/1
19%
3.67
X/2
6%
13.85
X/X
10%
6.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
2/2
8%
10.65
2/X
5%
18.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.95/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.93
+11% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
15.8 Crosses 14.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oulu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
416 Passes 313
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
23.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
01.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
07.08.2022 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
18.06.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
3-0
AWAY Oulu
1.03 xG 1.17
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
528 Passes 216
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki swept aside Oulu 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 67% of the ball to Oulu's 33%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.03 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.00 for Oulu.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Oulu?

HJK Helsinki 3-0 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 59%, draw 20%, Oulu 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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