Oulu 1-0 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.63
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.15
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
10%
7.64
X/2
14%
4.3
X/X
9%
5.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.54
2/X
10%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 53%
-18% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +12%
0.98/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.02
-23% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
13.2 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
385 Passes 398
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
23.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
01.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
07.08.2022 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
18.06.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
17.07.2021 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
1-0
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.47 xG 0.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
168 Passes 451
58% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oulu vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu edged past HJK Helsinki 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oulu had 34% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 66%, shots finished 4-7, expected goals 0.47 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oulu and 1.33 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Oulu vs HJK Helsinki?

Oulu 1-0 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oulu 31%, draw 27%, HJK Helsinki 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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