SJK Seinajoki 0-2 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 26% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.0
X/1
18%
3.62
X/2
9%
11.1
X/X
13%
5.37
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
9%
9.18
2/X
5%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.63/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.48
-16% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
417 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
30.2 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
5W-0D-1L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.64 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
471 Passes 242
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
11.06.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
11.09.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-0 HT 2-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
21.05.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
30.06.2021 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-0 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
24.06.2021 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
0-2
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.24 xG 0.42
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
487 Passes 220
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 10
52 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn got the better of SJK Seinajoki 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Seinajoki at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 66% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 34%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.24 to 0.42 — on chances, SJK Seinajoki could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 0.67 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs IFK Mariehamn?

SJK Seinajoki 0-2 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 53%, draw 24%, IFK Mariehamn 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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