Ilves Tampere 1-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.9
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.35
X/2
14%
6.59
X/X
9%
4.54
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.14
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.33/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.91
+15% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.8 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.29
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
340 Passes 420
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
13.08.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-3 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
23.04.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
11.02.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
03.09.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
09.04.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
1-2
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.57 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
412 Passes 368
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio squeezed past Ilves Tampere 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; KuPS Kuopio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 52% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 48%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.57 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.00 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio?

Ilves Tampere 1-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 38%, draw 25%, KuPS Kuopio 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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