Siheung Citizen 2-0 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
19%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.32/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.03
-10% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
14.04.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
17.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
20.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
29.10.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-2 HT 1-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
04.06.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 3-4 HT 2-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen saw off Ulsan Citizen 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Siheung Citizen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.80 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen?

Siheung Citizen 2-0 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 51%, draw 30%, Ulsan Citizen 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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