Anyang 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anyang EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.93
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
17.6 Crosses 20.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anyang
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.39 xG 0.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
239 Passes 228
67% Pass Accuracy 62%
10 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
17.09.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 4-3 HT 2-1 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
15.07.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-3 HT 1-1 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
01.04.2023 Anyang Anyang 3-0 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
17.09.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 HT 0-0 Anyang Anyang GKOR2
06.07.2022 Anyang Anyang 1-1 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anyang
1-0
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anyang vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anyang squeezed past Asan Mugunghwa 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Anyang found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Anyang had 41% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 59%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anyang had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Anyang and 1.33 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Anyang vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Anyang 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anyang vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anyang win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Anyang 40%, draw 26%, Asan Mugunghwa 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anyang), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anyang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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