Yelimay Semey 1-0 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.2pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.2pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.33/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/2.17
-25% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zhenys
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.05.2024 Zhenys 1-2 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey squeezed past Zhenys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Zhenys?

Yelimay Semey 1-0 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 54%, draw 27%, Zhenys 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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