KFUM Oslo 1-1 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.07
6+ Goals
14%
9.78
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 58%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
0.78/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.02
-21% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.7
18.6 Crosses 18.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
448 Passes 503
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 1-1 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo and Bodo/Glimt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bodo/Glimt at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt?

KFUM Oslo 1-1 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 22%, draw 25%, Bodo/Glimt 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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