Fredrikstad 2-2 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Jul 2024

Fredrikstad
2-2 HT 2-1
Rosenborg
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.4
6+ Goals
14%
12.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.56
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.42
X/2
15%
7.79
X/X
15%
4.84
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
11%
5.7
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.3pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v Rosenborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.02/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.67
-61% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
14.0 Crosses 19.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 1.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
200 Passes 365
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
01.05.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOK
11.11.2012 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.04.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
26.10.2011 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
18.04.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR

Fredrikstad 2-2 Rosenborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
2-2
AWAY Rosenborg
1.08 xG 1.34
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 Passes 395
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad and Rosenborg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 40% of the ball to Rosenborg's 60%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.08 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fredrikstad and 0.83 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

Fredrikstad 2-2 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 38%, draw 29%, Rosenborg 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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