Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.46/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.96
+32% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
18.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-2 HT 0-2 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
26.11.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-2 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
09.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PARK
09.09.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.05.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-2
AWAY Club Guarani
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Trinidense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Guarani as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 49% of the ball to Club Guarani's 51%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 0.33 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Guarani?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 27%, draw 27%, Club Guarani 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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