Olimpia Elblag 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.29/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.54
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
188 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Elblag
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
02.09.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 2-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
26.10.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-2 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Elblag
1-1
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olimpia Elblag vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Elblag and Jastrzebie Zdroj shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Olimpia Elblag had 52% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 48%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Olimpia Elblag had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olimpia Elblag and 0.67 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Olimpia Elblag vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Olimpia Elblag 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Elblag vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Elblag win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Elblag 39%, draw 25%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olimpia Elblag), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Elblag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
27 Jul 2024
16:00 Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec Analysis →
17:00 Zaglebie Lubin II vs KS Wieczysta Krakow Analysis →
18:00 Hutnik Krakow vs Swit Skolwin Analysis →