Domzale 1-2 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

Domzale
1-2 HT 0-1
Mura
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.19/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.25
-6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mura
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Domzale Domzale 3-5 HT 0-2 Mura Mura SLVN
10.12.2023 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
27.09.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-2 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
22.07.2023 Mura Mura 2-3 HT 2-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.04.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
12.12.2022 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
1-2
AWAY Mura
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura edged past Domzale 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Domzale at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Domzale had 49% of the ball to Mura's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Domzale and 1.67 for Mura.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Mura?

Domzale 1-2 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Domzale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Domzale 46%, draw 28%, Mura 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Domzale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Domzale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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