İngiltere (K) 1-1 İspanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.08
2-3 Goals
46%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.29
1/2
4%
25.0
1/X
7%
16.3
X/1
12%
8.8
X/2
21%
4.21
X/X
13%
4.83
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.38
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
Crosses 29.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere (K)
4W-0D-2L
AWAY İspanya (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 1.70
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
268 Passes 518
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.06.2025 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) AVKUL
26.02.2025 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) AVKUL
20.08.2023 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) KDK
20.07.2022 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) ABK
09.04.2019 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) HAZ
23.07.2017 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere (K)
1-1
AWAY İspanya (K)
1.06 xG 2.56
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
311 Passes 652
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 65
12 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İngiltere (K) vs İspanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere (K) and İspanya (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was İspanya (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İngiltere (K) had 35% of the ball to İspanya (K)'s 65%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.06 to 2.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İngiltere (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İngiltere (K) and 0.83 for İspanya (K).

What was the final score of İngiltere (K) vs İspanya (K)?

İngiltere (K) 1-1 İspanya (K) in the European Women's Championship on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere (K) vs İspanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split İngiltere (K) 25%, draw 27%, İspanya (K) 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İspanya (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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