Slavia Mozyr 1-0 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+14.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 24%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
0.08/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-95% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Mozyr
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gomel
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Gomel Gomel 0-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
24.11.2024 Gomel Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.06.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
25.11.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
02.07.2023 Gomel Gomel 3-2 HT 2-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
13.08.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-1 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
1-0
AWAY Gomel
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr nicked a narrow win over Gomel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 51% of the ball to Gomel's 49%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Slavia Mozyr and 0.67 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs Gomel?

Slavia Mozyr 1-0 Gomel in the Belarus - Cup on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 42%, draw 22%, Gomel 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Over 2.5
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