Suduva 2-3 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 27%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.36/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.89
+99% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.05.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
28.03.2025 Suduva Suduva 1-0 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
14.09.2024 Suduva Suduva 2-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
30.06.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
11.05.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
16.03.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai nicked a narrow win over Suduva 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Suduva at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dziugas Telsiai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Suduva and 0.83 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Suduva 2-3 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Suduva 41%, draw 26%, Dziugas Telsiai 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suduva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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