KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-1 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2025

KS Wieczysta Krakow
2-1 HT 2-1
Pogon Siedlce
📅27/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KS Wieczysta Krakow v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.4

KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-1 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow
2-1
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KS Wieczysta Krakow nicked a narrow win over Pogon Siedlce 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KS Wieczysta Krakow as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, KS Wieczysta Krakow had 54% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 46%, shots finished 7-19.

What was the final score of KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Pogon Siedlce?

KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-1 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a KS Wieczysta Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KS Wieczysta Krakow 50%, draw 23%, Pogon Siedlce 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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