Ruch Chorzow 2-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2025

Ruch Chorzow
2-1 HT 1-0
Gornik Leczna
📅27/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Leczna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.45
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ruch Chorzow v Gornik Leczna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +16%
2.14/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.31
+10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Leczna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-0 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
31.08.2024 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 3-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
05.03.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
11.08.2022 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
02.06.2017 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-2 HT 0-2 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
19.11.2016 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-4 HT 0-2 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL

Ruch Chorzow 2-1 Gornik Leczna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
2-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruch Chorzow nicked a narrow win over Gornik Leczna 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ruch Chorzow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 46% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 54%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 1.33 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Leczna?

Ruch Chorzow 2-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 47%, draw 26%, Gornik Leczna 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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