Ruch Chorzow 3-2 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 29%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +32%
1.76/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.07
+15% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
05.03.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
11.08.2022 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
02.06.2017 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-2 HT 0-2 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
19.11.2016 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-4 HT 0-2 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
16.07.2016 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
21.11.2015 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-3 HT 0-2 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
3-2
AWAY Gornik Leczna
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruch Chorzow nicked a narrow win over Gornik Leczna 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ruch Chorzow found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 53% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 47%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 0.83 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Leczna?

Ruch Chorzow 3-2 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 38%, draw 27%, Gornik Leczna 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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