Warta Poznan 1-1 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.2
6+ Goals
10%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 38%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.51/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.83
+16% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
1-1
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan and Znicz Pruszkow shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Warta Poznan at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 47% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 53%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Warta Poznan 1-1 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 42%, draw 25%, Znicz Pruszkow 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Warta Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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