Gornik Leczna 2-0 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.22/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.30
+8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 3-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
05.03.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
11.08.2022 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
02.06.2017 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-2 HT 0-2 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
19.11.2016 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-4 HT 0-2 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
16.07.2016 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
2-0
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna saw off Ruch Chorzow 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 49% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 51%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gornik Leczna and 2.17 for Ruch Chorzow.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Ruch Chorzow?

Gornik Leczna 2-0 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 31%, draw 28%, Ruch Chorzow 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
29 Mar 2025
19:30 Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Glogow Analysis →
21:30 Lodzki KS vs Odra Opole Analysis →