Londrina 1-4 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Jul 2026

📅27/07/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.7pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Londrina EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.97/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.59
-30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +114%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
21.0 Crosses 21.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Londrina
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.92 xG 1.06
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
272 Passes 344
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2026 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-3 HT 0-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
18.11.2023 Londrina Londrina 0-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
20.07.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 3-0 HT 3-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
07.08.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
22.04.2022 Londrina Londrina 1-1 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Londrina
1-4
AWAY Novorizontino
2.05 xG 0.98
21 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
363 Passes 274
20 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Londrina vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino swept aside Londrina 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.05 to 0.98 — on chances, Londrina could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Londrina and 1.20 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Londrina vs Novorizontino?

Londrina 1-4 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Londrina vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Londrina 31%, draw 22%, Novorizontino 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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