Novorizontino 1-3 Londrina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Londrina EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -14%
1.48/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.27
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
26.2 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Londrina
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.76 xG 0.81
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
345 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Londrina Londrina 0-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
20.07.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 3-0 HT 3-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
07.08.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
22.04.2022 Londrina Londrina 1-1 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-3
AWAY Londrina
2.25 xG 1.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
339 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Box Touches 16
42 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Londrina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Londrina beat Novorizontino 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Novorizontino at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Novorizontino had 56% of the ball to Londrina's 44%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.25 to 1.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Novorizontino.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Novorizontino had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Novorizontino and 0.50 for Londrina.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Londrina?

Novorizontino 1-3 Londrina in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Londrina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 55%, draw 24%, Londrina 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✗ Under 2.5
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