Goias 3-1 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.39/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.24
+22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.6 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
4W-1D-1L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.63 xG 1.07
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
262 Passes 414
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
21.04.2025 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR2
18.10.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-2 HT 1-2 Goias Goias BR2
03.07.2024 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
07.12.2023 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
13.08.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
3-1
AWAY America Mineiro
1.95 xG 1.77
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 2
194 Passes 445
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 28
5 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Goias vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias beat America Mineiro 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 33% of the ball to America Mineiro's 67%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 1.95 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Goias and 0.67 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Goias vs America Mineiro?

Goias 3-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Goias 49%, draw 28%, America Mineiro 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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