America Mineiro vs Goias Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America Mineiro v Goias — Team-Based Signals
America Mineiro vs Goias Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
America Mineiro
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Goias
BR1
2-2
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Goias
BR1
America Mineiro 1-0 Goias — Actual Match Statistics
America Mineiro edged past Goias 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, America Mineiro had 52% of the ball to Goias's 48%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.17 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold America Mineiro's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America Mineiro and 1.33 for Goias.
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Goias?
America Mineiro 1-0 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Goias?
Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 45%, draw 29%, Goias 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.