Atletico Paranaense 2-0 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 17%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.18/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.33
+20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
23.0 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2W-0D-2L
AWAY CRB
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BRK
13.04.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
11.09.2012 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-1 HT 2-0 CRB CRB BR2
09.06.2012 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2-0
AWAY CRB
1.47 xG 0.40
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
232 Passes 359
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense got the better of CRB 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 39% of the ball to CRB's 61%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.47 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.25 for CRB.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs CRB?

Atletico Paranaense 2-0 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 49%, draw 25%, CRB 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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