Chapecoense vs Athletic Club Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Athletic Club — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense 1-0 Athletic Club — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense squeezed past Athletic Club 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Chapecoense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Chapecoense had 46% of the ball to Athletic Club's 54%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.82 to 1.12.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Athletic Club?
Chapecoense 1-0 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Athletic Club?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 39%, draw 32%, Athletic Club 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.