Goias 1-0 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.9pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.58/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.25
+21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.2 Crosses 20.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
3W-2D-1L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
268 Passes 408
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2025 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR2
18.10.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-2 HT 1-2 Goias Goias BR2
03.07.2024 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
07.12.2023 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
13.08.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
27.10.2022 Goias Goias 2-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-0
AWAY America Mineiro
0.32 xG 0.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
206 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Goias vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias edged past America Mineiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Goias had 39% of the ball to America Mineiro's 61%, shots finished 10-3, expected goals 0.32 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Goias and 1.00 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Goias vs America Mineiro?

Goias 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Goias 53%, draw 23%, America Mineiro 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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