CRB 0-1 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
23.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.2pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.34/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.45
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.5 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.40 xG 1.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
359 Passes 232
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
26.04.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BRK
13.04.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
11.09.2012 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-1 HT 2-0 CRB CRB BR2
09.06.2012 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
0-1
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
0.62 xG 1.49
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
536 Passes 255
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CRB vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense squeezed past CRB 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CRB at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CRB had 65% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 35%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.62 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CRB and 1.60 for Atletico Paranaense.

What was the final score of CRB vs Atletico Paranaense?

CRB 0-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CRB 41%, draw 28%, Atletico Paranaense 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CRB), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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