Athletic Club 2-1 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Mar 2026

Athletic Club
2-1 HT 2-1
Ponte Preta
📅23/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Athletic Club vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Club v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.57/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.26
+7% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
22.8 Crosses 18.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Athletic Club 2-1 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
2-1
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.01 xG 0.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
274 Passes 375
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club squeezed past Ponte Preta 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Athletic Club as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Club had 43% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 57%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.01 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Ponte Preta?

Athletic Club 2-1 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 44%, draw 29%, Ponte Preta 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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