Utsiktens BK 3-2 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Aug 2024

Utsiktens BK
3-2 HT 2-1
Örebro
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Utsiktens BK vs Örebro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.02
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
13%
6.11
X/2
10%
5.33
X/X
15%
4.81
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
10%
3.32
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+7.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utsiktens BK v Örebro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.61/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.15
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

Utsiktens BK vs Örebro Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Örebro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.05.2024 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
28.09.2023 Örebro Örebro 5-1 HT 3-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
31.05.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 2-1 HT 1-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
28.08.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-2 HT 1-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
24.07.2022 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 1-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK edged past Örebro 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Utsiktens BK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Örebro led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utsiktens BK and 2.00 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Örebro?

Utsiktens BK 3-2 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 42%, draw 28%, Örebro 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utsiktens BK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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