IK Brage 0-3 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.96
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
14%
4.9
X/2
14%
6.67
X/X
10%
4.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
15%
4.55
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.68/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.98
+8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
04.11.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 2-0 HT 2-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
22.04.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
31.10.2021 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
09.05.2021 IK Brage IK Brage 0-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
19.09.2018 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 4-1 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Brage
0-3
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF ran out comfortable winners over IK Brage 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Helsingborgs IF found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, IK Brage had 58% of the ball to Helsingborgs IF's 42%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helsingborgs IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for IK Brage and 1.67 for Helsingborgs IF.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Helsingborgs IF?

IK Brage 0-3 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 39%, draw 26%, Helsingborgs IF 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ BTTS Yes
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