Admira Wacker 1-3 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
16%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 26% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.72
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
4%
13.35
X/1
21%
4.62
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
7.13
X/X
11%
5.16
2/1
5%
23.15
2/2
17%
4.96
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · X/2 at 7.13 — our 16% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
28%
+11.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 32%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Admira Wacker
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.05.2011 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 5-3 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
18.03.2011 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-1 HT 0-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
22.10.2010 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-1 HT 2-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
02.08.2010 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
07.05.2010 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-1 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
20.11.2009 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Admira Wacker
1-3
AWAY Austria Lustenau
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Admira Wacker vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau got the better of Admira Wacker 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Austria Lustenau made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Admira Wacker had 53% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 47%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Admira Wacker had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Admira Wacker and 1.00 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Admira Wacker vs Austria Lustenau?

Admira Wacker 1-3 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Admira Wacker vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Admira Wacker 38%, draw 22%, Austria Lustenau 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Lustenau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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