SV Horn 3-1 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 27 Aug 2024

SV Horn
3-1 HT 1-0
Amstetten
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - ÖFB Cup – 2024/2025

SV Horn vs Amstetten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 22% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.43
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.45
X/2
13%
5.83
X/X
8%
5.02
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
23%
3.77
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.7pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.3pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SV Horn v Amstetten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

SV Horn vs Amstetten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Amstetten
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.11.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 3-1 HT 0-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
04.06.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 2-2 HT 1-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
06.11.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 2-1 HT 1-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
22.04.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
16.10.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 0-3 HT 0-2 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
23.05.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 3-0 HT 2-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn beat Amstetten 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Amstetten at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SV Horn had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SV Horn and 1.17 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Amstetten?

SV Horn 3-1 Amstetten in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 36%, draw 20%, Amstetten 44%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Amstetten), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amstetten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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