Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama edged past Atletico Paranaense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 46% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 54%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.65 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.17 for Atletico Paranaense.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense?
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 42%, draw 26%, Atletico Paranaense 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.