AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.14
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.33
No
31%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.0pp
33%
Draw
22%
+10.7pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.2pp
69%
BTTS Yes
71%
-2.3pp
31%
BTTS No
29%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.00/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.79
+4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Burnley U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
22.03.2024 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 3-1 HT 2-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 squeezed past Burnley U21 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Burnley U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2 Burnley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 45%, draw 33%, Burnley U21 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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