Newry City AFC 1-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Aug 2024

Newry City AFC
1-0 HT 1-0
Ballinamallard United
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newry City AFC v Ballinamallard United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 46%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.00/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.46
+19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-2 HT 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRK
22.01.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-2 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
13.11.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
11.09.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-3 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
08.02.2020 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
21.07.2018 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United HAZ
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newry City AFC squeezed past Ballinamallard United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newry City AFC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newry City AFC and 0.83 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United?

Newry City AFC 1-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 41%, draw 24%, Ballinamallard United 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newry City AFC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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