Ards FC 0-4 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
19%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 30% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.6pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.53/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.77
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +75%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Bangor FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2024 Bangor FC Bangor FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
26.12.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
11.08.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.07.2018 Bangor FC Bangor FC 1-4 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC HAZ
27.12.2014 Bangor FC Bangor FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC swept aside Ards FC 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 42% — and on the day Bangor FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ards FC and 1.80 for Bangor FC.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Bangor FC?

Ards FC 0-4 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 37%, draw 22%, Bangor FC 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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