Fortaleza CEIF 2-2 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.26/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.18
-8% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
15.8 Crosses 12.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.80 xG 2.08
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
165 Passes 298
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-2 HT 0-2 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2-2
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.55 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
257 Passes 248
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Fortaleza CEIF vs Independiente Medellin
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fortaleza CEIF and Independiente Medellin shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Colombia - Primera on 27 Aug 2024. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 52% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 48%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.55 to 1.41.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Independiente Medellin?

Fortaleza CEIF 2-2 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 39%, draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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