TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
37%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-11.6pp
37%
Draw
27%
+10.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +63%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-3 HT 0-2 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
22.06.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 HT 2-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
27.04.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-0 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
09.03.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
09.09.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1-2
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai edged past TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 37% / 28%) promised a tight game; Dziugas Telsiai found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 58% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 42%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 0.60 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?

TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 35%, draw 37%, Dziugas Telsiai 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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