Lamphun Warrior vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lamphun Warrior v Nong Bua Pitchaya — Team-Based Signals
Lamphun Warrior vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Lamphun Warrior 3-3 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Actual Match Statistics
Lamphun Warrior and Nong Bua Pitchaya shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Lamphun Warrior at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 50% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 50%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.54 to 3.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 0.00 for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Lamphun Warrior 3-3 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 47%, draw 25%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.