Thai Port FC 4-1 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.3
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.98
Over
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Thai Port FC win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai The Market 14%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.71/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.63
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.9 Crosses 16.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sukhothai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.37 xG 0.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
409 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
19.03.2023 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
23.10.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-3 HT 1-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
4-1
AWAY Sukhothai
1.26 xG 0.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
416 Passes 308
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC swept aside Sukhothai 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thai Port FC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 56% of the ball to Sukhothai's 44%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.26 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Thai Port FC and 0.33 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Sukhothai?

Thai Port FC 4-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 63%, draw 22%, Sukhothai 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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