Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.15/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.67
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
231 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.1 Crosses 16.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.22
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
210 Passes 437
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
14.08.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
31.03.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
22.10.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-5 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
29.07.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
25.04.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 HT 2-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-2
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
2.31 xG 1.97
58% Ball Possession 42%
26 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
324 Passes 211
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida squeezed past Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estudiantes De Merida as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 58% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 42%, shots finished 26-15, expected goals 2.31 to 1.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.50 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 26%, draw 32%, Estudiantes De Merida 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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