Guadalupe 3-1 Aserri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalupe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aserri EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalupe
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Aserri
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
15.08.2025 Aserri 4-2 HT 0-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTK
27.08.2023 Aserri 1-0 HT 0-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSB
POST-MATCH Guadalupe vs Aserri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalupe beat Aserri 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guadalupe as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aserri led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guadalupe and 2.50 for Aserri.

What was the final score of Guadalupe vs Aserri?

Guadalupe 3-1 Aserri in the Costa Rica - Cup on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalupe vs Aserri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalupe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guadalupe 52%, draw 22%, Aserri 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalupe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guadalupe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTK More Costa Rica - Cup
27 Aug 2025
03:00 Carmelita vs San Carlos Analysis →